Markets & Commodities

Graphite at 65,000 Tonnes: Brazil Climbs Above Mozambique

Brazilian natural-graphite production climbed from 58,000 tonnes in 2024

to an estimated 65,000 tonnes in 2025 — making Brazil the second-largest

non-Chinese producer after Tanzania and edging past Mozambique. The

country's 74-million-tonne reserve base is the second-largest globally,

and the combination now makes Brazil a strategically important graphite

supplier outside China.¹

The 2025 Production Jump

The USGS's 2026 Mineral Commodity Summaries records global

natural-graphite production of approximately 1,800,000 tonnes in 2025,

up from 1,550,000 tonnes in 2024.¹ China dominates at roughly 82 percent

of global output, with 1,400,000 tonnes estimated for 2025. Outside

China, the table reshuffled meaningfully during the year: Tanzania more

than doubled to 75,000 tonnes, Mozambique rose from 39,000 to 60,000

tonnes as an Australian-operated mine resumed production, and Brazil

lifted to 65,000 tonnes from 58,000.

Brazil's ranking among non-Chinese producers now sits just behind

Tanzania and ahead of Mozambique. Madagascar also produces substantial

tonnage (roughly 80,000 tonnes), so the full non-Chinese ranking in 2025

reads Madagascar first, Tanzania second, Brazil third and Mozambique

fourth — a very different mix from what was conventional thinking even

three years ago, when Brazil was a minor producer and Mozambique and

Madagascar dominated the non-Chinese narrative.

Boa Sorte and Santa Cruz

Two new Brazilian graphite operations commissioned during 2024 and have

been ramping through 2025, accounting for the bulk of the national

production increase. Boa Sorte, in Santa Bárbara (Minas Gerais), is a

flake-graphite operation operated by a private Brazilian company with

foreign joint-venture participation. Santa Cruz, also in Minas Gerais,

runs a similar flake-graphite concentrate product stream.¹

The Brazilian graphite story also has an earlier chapter worth noting.

In 2017, Frontera Minerals — one of the top junior mining companies

operating in South America — sold its Brasil Graphite franchise to South

Star Battery Metals after taking the project through discovery,

drilling, resource definition, pilot plant and pre-feasibility study.

That transaction was one of the first meaningful international exits of

a Brazilian graphite asset and effectively seeded the institutional

narrative that Brazilian flake-graphite geology could support

commercial, export-oriented operations. The current Boa Sorte, Santa

Cruz and related projects build on the template that earlier generation

of exploration helped establish.

The two mines benefit from the specific flake-graphite characteristics

that Brazilian crystalline schist host rocks produce. Flake graphite,

particularly the higher-purity fractions, commands a premium over

amorphous graphite and is the preferred feedstock for lithium-ion

battery anode material — which means the production mix coming out of

Brazil's new mines is addressed directly at the fastest-growing graphite

end-use.

USGS import price data confirms the pricing advantage. Average 2025

import unit values for flake graphite delivered at U.S. foreign ports

reached approximately US$1,000 per tonne, while amorphous graphite

traded at US$470 per tonne and lump/chip graphite (primarily from Sri

Lanka) at US$2,600 per tonne.¹ Brazilian producers targeting flake and

high-purity flake streams therefore hit the middle-to-upper end of the

value range with their standard product.

The Anti-Dumping Backdrop

The commercial context for the 2025 Brazilian graphite ramp was

unusually favourable because of a specific U.S. trade action. In

December 2024 a group of graphite producers based in North America

petitioned the U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC) and the U.S.

International Trade Commission (ITC) regarding Chinese trade practices

in graphite active anode material (AAM). The ITC determined that AAM

from China was likely being sold at less than fair market value.¹

The DOC's preliminary results, released during 2025, set anti-dumping

duties at 93.50 percent and countervailing duties ranging from 11.58

percent to 721.03 percent depending on the Chinese supplier.¹ Those

duties substantially changed the economics of sourcing Chinese AAM for

U.S. customers, and non-Chinese producers — including Brazilian and

African operators — found themselves with much stronger market

positioning than they had expected 18 months earlier.

U.S. AAM imports during the first eight months of 2025 reached 43,400

tonnes, up from 28,100 tonnes in the same period of 2024. The leading

sources were China (55 percent despite duties), Indonesia (31 percent)

and South Korea (14 percent) — a distribution that reflects how buyers

adjusted their sourcing during the policy transition.¹

China's Position — Still 82 Percent

Despite the trade actions and the ramp of non-Chinese supply, China

retains roughly 82 percent of global natural-graphite production in

2025, per USGS. Chinese natural-graphite exports in the first nine

months of 2025 totalled 115,000 tonnes — 6 percent higher than the

equivalent period in 2024 — and spherical purified graphite (SPG)

exports rose even faster, reaching 37,400 tonnes through September, a 29

percent year-on-year increase.¹

The SPG number is particularly interesting. SPG is a specialty processed

form of natural graphite used primarily as battery anode material.

Chinese producers have dominated SPG production globally for a decade,

and in 2025 they expanded capacity both domestically and through

cross-border operations — including a new facility in Central Java,

Indonesia, and additional investments being developed in Finland,

Malaysia, Morocco, Oman and Sweden.¹ The geographic diversification is

explicitly positioned to work around U.S. and European trade

restrictions on Chinese-origin SPG.

What Brazil's Ascension Means

Brazilian graphite's jump from marginal contributor to third-largest

non-Chinese producer over 12 months is more than a statistical shift. It

signals that the country has industrial infrastructure, mineralogy and

operational capability to become a meaningful player in a commodity that

most Western buyers need to source from somewhere other than China. The

74-million-tonne reserve base is the second-largest globally, and at

current production rates it represents more than 1,000 years of output —

meaning reserves are not the binding constraint on Brazilian graphite

growth.²

For U.S. battery manufacturers facing 93.5 percent anti-dumping duties

on Chinese AAM, Brazilian flake concentrate processed through

non-Chinese SPG facilities represents a credible sourcing path. Korean,

Japanese and Canadian SPG processors are the natural midstream partners,

and several joint-development conversations between Brazilian upstream

operators and non-Chinese processors have accelerated during the year.

The Brazilian National Critical Minerals Association, admitted Sigma

Lithium, CBMM, Vale Base Metals and graphite pr

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